IP
Ideal Power Inc. (IPWR)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 revenue was $24,450, up from $1,275 in Q2 and $554 in Q3 2024, while net loss was $2.94M and EPS was $(0.32) . Versus consensus, revenue was above a minimal estimate ($0.00*) and EPS was modestly below (consensus $(0.30)*), resulting in a small EPS miss and revenue beat .
- Cash used in operating and investing activities was $2.7M (at the low end of prior guidance) and cash balance ended at $8.4M with no debt; management guided Q4 cash burn to ~$2.5–$2.7M and FY 2025 to ~ $10M .
- Commercial traction accelerated: first design-win SSCB customer completed testing of updated prototypes; Ideal Power secured a purchase order from Stellantis and completed the first of five deliverables; engagement expanded to a sixth global automaker .
- Catalysts: Stellantis EV contactor program scope decision, AI data center SSCB rollout timing, and continued B‑TRAN® qualification progress (1,000+ devices tested with no failures to date) .
Note: Estimates marked with * are values retrieved from S&P Global.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Secured a purchase order from Stellantis for custom development and packaged B‑TRAN® devices targeting multiple EV applications; first of five deliverables completed in late September .
- First design-win customer completed testing of updated SSCB prototype breakers; now working on finalizing product design ahead of launch targeting AI data centers .
- Increased discrete B‑TRAN® product power rating by 50% (to 75 amps) and commenced sampling; broader interest observed across the pipeline; automotive qualification testing shows positive results with no failures to date .
What Went Wrong
- EPS of $(0.32) missed the Wall Street consensus of $(0.30)*, and net loss widened year over year ($2.94M vs $2.69M) driven in part by higher wafer fabrication costs and R&D spending .
- Operating expenses rose to $3.0M (vs $2.9M YoY), reflecting higher semiconductor fabrication costs at the second foundry and continued commercialization investment .
- Initial orders remain modest as large customers continue evaluations; revenue is still very small and lumpy pending OEM product rollouts and design cycles .
Financial Results
Note: Margin values marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment breakdown: N/A (company does not report segments) .
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We are delighted to announce securing the purchase order from Stellantis for custom development and packaged B‑TRAN® devices… We completed our first of five deliverables under the purchase order. The remaining deliverables are expected to be completed next year.” — David Somo, CEO .
- “We expect Stellantis to award us with a multi-year EV contactor program… install B‑TRAN‑based contactors in Stellantis test vehicles potentially as early as late 2026.” — Tim Burns, CFO .
- “Our first design win customer successfully completed testing of the updated prototype SSCBs… ahead of the B‑TRAN‑enabled product launch targeting AI data center customers.” — David Somo, CEO .
- “We increased the power rating of our discrete B‑TRAN product by 50% and commenced shipment… sparked greater interest from both existing customers and new prospects.” — Tim Burns, CFO .
- “We have sufficient liquidity on our balance sheet to fund operations through at least mid‑2026.” — Tim Burns, CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- EV architecture shift to 800‑volt systems is driving demand for low‑loss, bidirectional solutions; B‑TRAN® targets contactors, battery disconnect units, charging systems, and inverters .
- SSCB commercialization timing: product not yet for sale; customer finalizing design following successful prototype testing; timing update to be provided on a future call .
- Manufacturing: two foundries (Asia and Europe) with the Asian foundry ahead on yields; two packaging houses (primary in Asia, secondary in U.S. for potential government programs) .
- Barriers to closing sales: customer education on new device architecture, cautious engineering adoption cycles, and desire for automotive qualification to accelerate industrial uptake .
- Tariffs: minimal impact anticipated; power semiconductors often exempt; company prepared to mitigate policy shifts .
Estimates Context
Note: Estimates marked with * are values retrieved from S&P Global.
Where estimates may need to adjust:
- Revenue estimates should begin to reflect small, lumpy initial orders and potential SSCB launch timing, raising near-term revenue assumptions off de minimis levels .
- EPS estimates should account for modest OpEx increases tied to hiring and wafer fabrication runs and for quarter-to-quarter variability in R&D and stock-based compensation timing .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Commercial traction is building: SSCB design-win customer finalized prototype testing; Stellantis PO underway with first deliverable completed; early discussions with a sixth automaker broaden the pipeline .
- Near-term financial profile remains pre‑scale: Q3 revenue $24k, EPS $(0.32); expense increases reflect strategic investment in fabrication and commercialization; cash burn guided tighter for Q4 (approx. $2.5–$2.7M) and FY 2025 (~$10M) .
- Liquidity runway through at least mid‑2026 with no debt provides time to execute on industrial SSCB and automotive contactor opportunities; potential upfront payments from development agreements could supplement cash .
- Product competitiveness improved: 50% power rating increase to 75A for discrete B‑TRAN® and evidence of reliability (>1,000 devices tested, zero failures) should bolster adoption in high‑power applications, including AI data centers and EVs .
- Watch for catalysts: Stellantis multi‑year program scope and test vehicle timing; SSCB launch and end‑customer sampling; Asia sales expansion and additional design wins/custom development agreements .
- Risk framing: adoption cycles are lengthy and cautious; initial orders are small; quarterly variability in OpEx and stock‑based comp likely; tariff risk appears manageable given exemptions for power semiconductors .
- CEO transition adds go‑to‑market focus: new CEO (ex‑onsemi SVP) emphasizes revenue acceleration and plans a follow‑up call to share commercialization outlook once customer meetings and internal reviews are complete .